Who Will Win the Big Game? Characteristics That Can decide the Nba & Nhl Champions

Superior Court - Who Will Win the Big Game? Characteristics That Can decide the Nba & Nhl Champions

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The 2009-2010 N.B.A. Finals and N.H.L. Stanley Cup Finals are under way. What factors finally decide championships? What characteristics might help decide which team will win the greatest prize? Sports fans might be concerned in this article's sports analytics. Sports organizations and executives might be concerned in learning more about our explore projects and how we can help teams optimize their chances of winning.

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After analyzing the championship games or series of the N.F.L., N.B.A., Major League Baseball and N.H.L., and the major finals in golf and tennis, we identified 50 championships characteristics in our book, "Who Will Win the Big Game? A Psychological and Mathematical Method." Based on similar research, we focused on several championship characteristics that might help predict the winner of the N.H.L. And N.B.A. Finals.

In this article, we focus on dynamics such as leadership, defense, and consistency. These factors are particularly intriguing to this year's finals - and apply to every major sport we have studied.

Leadership

Leadership, both behind the bench, and on the playing field, have proven to be statistically principal in their relationship to winning championships. Our explore has shown that there are obvious coaches who have the quality to motivate their teams to greatness. There are more coaches such as the Lakers' Phil Jackson, and first-rate records in finals appearance, than a random mathematical model would predict. Phil Jackson is 10-2 in N.B.A. Finals as a coach. Other examples consist of Red Auerbach, John Wooden, Chuck Knoll, Bobby Bowden, Scotty Bowman, and Al Arbour - all are coaches with well-above.500 records in finals appearances.

Leadership on the court is also key. Over the past 20 years, the team with the best nasty star, measured by points per game has gone 14-6 (70.0%) in N.B.A. Championships. This factor favors the Lakers and Kobe Bryant, with his 27.0 points per game midpoint while the season.

Similarly, hockey teams with best nasty leadership have gone 19-11 (63.3%) in Stanley Cup Finals over the past 30 years, as measured by points scored. This factor favors the Black Hawks, and Patrick Kane (88 points) over the Flyers and Mike Richards (62 points).

Defense

In just about every sport we have studied, defense does truly win championships. Our explore has shown this to be true in the Super Bowl as well as the World Series. This maxim proves to be true in the Stanley Cup Finals and N.B.A. Championships as well. Over the past 30 years, the hockey team with the best goalie save percentage has gone 18-11 (62.2%). Over up-to-date years, since the high-scoring duration of the mid-80's to the mid-90's, hockey defense has been an even stronger dynamic. Teams with the best save percentage have gone:

• 3-0 over the last 4 years (teams had the same save percentage one year),

• 6-1 over the last 8 years,

• and 13-4 over the last 18 years.

This factor favors the Philadelphia Flyers with their.907 save percentage versus the Chicago Black Hawks and their.903 save percentage.

Defense also helps basketball teams win championships. We note that on average, defensive factors are more highly-correlated to winning championships than nasty factors. Over the past 20 years, the team with the best defense, as measured by points against per game, has gone 13-7 (65.0%) in N.B.A. Championships. This factor favors the Celtics (95.6 points against per game) this season. The Lakers gave up 97.0 points per game while the regular season.

Consistency Factors

Another key to winning is consistency. It is intriguing that this type of "consistency factor" is typically linked to "less intriguing heroics" than most sports fans would expect. For example, in baseball, our explore shows that batting midpoint is more correlated to winning World Series than home runs.

Similarly, in N.B.A. Finals, field goal percentage is more prominent than three-point shooting percentage. Over the past 20 years, the team with the best field goal percentage has gone 12-7 (63.2%) in professional basketball championship series. This factor favors the Celtics this year, with their 48.3% Fg % versus the Lakers' 45.7%.

Championship Factors and 2010 Finals

So who will win the Stanley Cup Finals? The #2 seed Black Hawks are heavy favorites over the #7 seeded Flyers (about 2.5-1 favorites), but the Flyers authentically have the leadership on the bench and in the middle of the goalposts to make a series of it.

The N.B.A. Finals gift an intriguing dilemma. The leadership factors point to the Lakers (coaching and star leadership), but the other factors (defense and consistency) favor the Celtics.

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